

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City | 
| 28.61% (  -0.01) | 25.39% (  -0) | 46% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 53.53% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.13% (  -0.01) | 49.87% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.14% (  -0.01) | 71.86% (  0) | 
| Crawley Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.35% (  -0.01) | 31.65% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.94% (  -0.01) | 68.06% (  0.01) | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.32% (  -0) | 21.68% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.18% (  -0) | 54.82% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City | 
| 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 6.94% (  -0) 2-0 @ 4.54% (  -0) 3-1 @ 2.66% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.74% (  -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.86% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.31% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.02% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.09% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.99% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 | 
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 | 
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 | 
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 | 
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 | 
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | 
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 | 
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 | 
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 | 
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 | 
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 | 
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 | 
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 | 
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 | 
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
