| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 46 | 13 | 75 |
| 10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 15 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 53.37% | 24.39% | 22.24% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% | 18.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.51% | 50.5% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.7% | 74.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
