Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 35.93% ( | 27.12% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( | 76.15% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( | 29.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% ( | 65.18% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.58% | 64.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 74 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 73 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 34 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 71 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 71 |
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 66 |
| 8 | Salford City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 66 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 57 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 53 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 52 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 42 | 11 | 18 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 50 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 48 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 45 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 42 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 33 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
