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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
40.7% ( 0.8) | 27.96% ( 0.17) | 31.34% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.29% ( -0.84) | 58.71% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% ( -0.66) | 79.24% ( 0.66) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 0.05) | 28.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 0.06) | 64.02% ( -0.06) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% ( -1.13) | 34.25% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% ( -1.23) | 70.95% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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