Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 54.07% ( | 22.54% ( | 23.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( | 41.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( | 63.99% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( | 15.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.87% ( | 44.13% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( | 31.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.24% ( | 67.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 |
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