Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
