MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 19:53:46| >> :600:203480:203480:
Luton Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Grimsby Town
Luton
2 - 2
Grimsby Town
Adebayo (49' pen.), Clark (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (43'), Clifton (67')
Clifton (45+1'), Orsi (65'), Maher (73'), Holohan (88'), Crocombe (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Luton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Grimsby Town

Luton have won each of their last 16 FA Cup ties as a Football League club against teams from a lower division, and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top on Saturday. Grimsby, meanwhile, have struggled away from home in recent weeks, losing five of their last six matches on the road, and another defeat could be on the cards at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawGrimsby Town
52.63% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.12%24.25%
Both teams to score 57.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)43.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53%16.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)68.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 52.63%
    Grimsby Town 24.25%
    Draw 23.11%
Luton TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Luton vs Grimsby Town

Luton Town
73.5%
Draw
11.8%
Grimsby Town
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-1
Luton

Davies (41'), Dembele (80')
Collins (49')
Cook (21')
Cook (34')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Luton
Clements (56')
Collins (64'), Comley (97')
Vassell (77')
Vassell (36'), Hylton (63'), Senior (76')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Luton
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rea (59')
Sheehan (54'), Potts (62'), Cook (75')
Bogle (29', 82')
Vose (78'), Comley (88'), Jackson (94'), Keown (94')
Mar 17, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-1
Grimsby Town
Bower (45'), Hall (89')
Bower (42'), Nicholls (90'), Craddock (90')
Bennett (43')
Akpa Akpro (67'), Hegarty (69'), Bore (82'), Henderson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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