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Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK at Stadium mk
MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter

Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawExeter City
46.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.85%28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.82%
    Exeter City 28.33%
    Draw 24.84%
MK DonsDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Exeter

MK Dons
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Paul
De Minaur
6 4 1
3 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33228360223874
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth34218561372471
3Ipswich TownIpswich341812465313466
4Bolton WanderersBolton36189951282363
5Derby CountyDerby341710755312461
6Barnsley32186849282160
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe331661145321354
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury34157124336752
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough331631453411251
10Portsmouth33131284537851
11Lincoln CityLincoln3391773233-144
12Exeter CityExeter341110134544143
13Port Vale35127163549-1443
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood341012123635142
15Bristol Rovers34119144755-842
16Charlton AthleticCharlton341011134546-141
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3599173645-936
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham34106182646-2036
19Burton Albion3398164062-2235
20Accrington StanleyAccrington32810142848-2034
21Morecambe34711163353-2032
22MK Dons3586213154-2330
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3485212655-2929
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3558222766-3923

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