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Bradford City
Carlisle United
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Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stevenage
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK at The County Ground
Swindon
3 - 3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Khan (41'), Brennan (69')
Khan (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Dieng (24'), Nichols (44')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham

Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
65.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.87%13.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)14.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.51%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 65.95%
    Gillingham 13.16%
    Draw 20.87%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Gillingham
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Swindon
Donnelly (71')
Ehmer (25'), Konchesky (54'), Wright (65'), Jackson (70')
Doughty (55' pen.)
Rodgers (31'), Barry (76'), Vigouroux (81'), Ormonde-Ottewill (90')
Ormonde-Ottewill (93')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Paul
De Minaur
6 4 1
3 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient35219546222472
2Carlisle UnitedCarlisle341710756342261
3Stevenage33179746301660
4Northampton TownNorthampton341611747321559
5Bradford CityBradford33169842291357
6Salford City351681151371456
7Stockport CountyStockport341671148311755
8Mansfield TownMansfield331671054431155
9Sutton UnitedSutton34149113739-251
10BarrowBarrow35156143841-351
11Swindon TownSwindon331310104436849
12Tranmere RoversTranmere35139133533248
13Doncaster RoversDoncaster33145143643-747
14Walsall32101393529643
15AFC Wimbledon341012123639-342
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe33815102940-1139
17Grimsby Town31108133440-638
18Newport CountyNewport33910143239-737
19Colchester UnitedColchester3598183142-1135
20Gillingham33810152137-1634
21Harrogate TownHarrogate34711163851-1332
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool35611183763-2629
23Crawley TownCrawley3268183454-2026
24Rochdale3567222952-2325

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