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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gillingham
Sutton
2 - 1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
Eastmond (54'), Bugiel (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McKenzie (78')
Jefferies (14')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 2-0 Gillingham

Gillingham will take some confidence into this game considering they won the reverse fixture earlier this season, but this is still going to be a tough test. The visitors have not gained three points on the road yet in the 2022-23 campaign, and that is unlikely to change on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
53.51% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 27.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 19.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)63.9% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.88% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)83.11% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.3% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.68% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (-0.023 -0.02)83.55% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 53.5%
    Gillingham 19.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 16.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.17%

How you voted: Sutton vs Gillingham

Sutton United
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Gillingham
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MK Dons22006336
2BarrowBarrow22004226
3Gillingham22002026
4Mansfield TownMansfield21105234
5Salford City21103124
6Crawley TownCrawley21102114
7Sutton UnitedSutton21016333
8Accrington StanleyAccrington21013123
9Newport CountyNewport21014313
10Walsall21013303
11Bradford CityBradford21012203
12Harrogate TownHarrogate21011103
13Forest Green RoversForest Green210112-13
14Morecambe210124-23
15Notts County210147-33
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe20204402
17AFC Wimbledon20201102
18Swindon TownSwindon10102201
19Grimsby Town201123-11
20Wrexham201146-21
21Colchester UnitedColchester100112-10
22Tranmere RoversTranmere200213-20
23Stockport CountyStockport200213-20
24Doncaster RoversDoncaster200205-50

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