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Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Valley
Bolton logo
Charlton
1 - 2
Bolton
Morgan (46')
Bonne (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (4'), Charles (68')
Sheehan (83'), Sheehan (84'), Lee (72'), Trafford (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton have won only one of their last four away games, and we think that they will be held to a draw by a Charlton side who are unbeaten in four home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
32.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 42.01% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.98% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.058 0.06)64.87% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.28%
    Bolton Wanderers 42.01%
    Draw 25.72%
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.01%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Charlton
Bradley (9'), Lee (41'), Johnston (76')
Iredale (65'), Jones (79')
Fraser (4')
Lavelle (75')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Bolton
2-1
Charlton
Charles (10'), Aimson (83')
Jones (33'), John (55'), Bakayoko (90+5')
Aneke (76')
Washington (40'), Gilbey (42'), Pearce (53'), Dobson (67')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Charlton
1-4
Bolton
Davison (12')
Lavelle (20'), Davison (31')
Afolayan (43'), Lee (73', 81'), Sarcevic (90+1')
Jones (90'), Santos (90+8')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Charlton
Clough (13')
Beevers (35'), Vela (85')
Bauer (23'), Byrne (45')
Forster-Caskey (43'), Watt (52')
Page (11')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126

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