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National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brackley Town
4 - 0
Gloucester City
Armson (5'), Rooney (28'), Matwasa (31'), Amantchi (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Gloucester City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
62.7% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08) 22.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 14.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.255 -0.26)53.75% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.215 -0.22)75.23% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)16.66% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (-0.206 -0.21)46.52% (0.201 0.2)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.92% (-0.149 -0.15)48.07% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (-0.109 -0.11)83.28% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 62.69%
    Gloucester City 14.78%
    Draw 22.52%
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.69%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.78%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Brackley Town
3-2
Gloucester City
Byrne (32' pen., 88'), Ndlovu (44')
Dawson (23'), McClure (71')
rhs 2.0
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