Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.