Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sion had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.