Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Sion had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
