Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sion had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Sion win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
