Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 35.03% ( | 27.15% ( | 37.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( | 55.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( | 76.3% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.03% ( | 65.96% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( | 28.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.12% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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