Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
