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Sutton United
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Walsall
Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Borough Sports Ground
League Two | Gameweek 24
Sutton
3 - 2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Colchester United

Sutton prevailed in the reverse fixture back in October, and we think that they will use their impressive home record to their advantage to pick up all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
51.96%26.79%21.25%
Both teams to score 42.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.59%60.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.45%80.55%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53%23.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51%57.49%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85%80.16%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 51.95%
    Colchester United 21.25%
    Draw 26.78%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.98%
2-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.3%
4-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Sutton vs Colchester

Sutton United
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Colchester United
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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