Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 33.93% (  -0.14) | 24.86% (  0.02) | 41.21% (  0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 57.8% (  -0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.59% (  -0.13) | 45.41% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.25% (  -0.13) | 67.74% (  0.13) | 
| Peterhead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.11% (  -0.15) | 25.89% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.13% (  -0.2) | 60.87% (  0.2) | 
| Queen of the South Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.99% | 22.01% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.67% (  -0) | 55.33% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South | 
| 2-1 @ 7.88% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 11.65% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.82% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 6.53% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 4.45% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.25% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% (  -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.21% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 | 
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 | 
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 | 
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 | 
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