Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
| 26.01% ( | 26.47% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( | 76.79% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.42% ( | 73.58% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( | 23.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.57% ( | 57.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.01% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-2 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 71 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 54 |
| 7 | Salford City | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 48 |
| 11 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 48 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 46 |
| 14 | Walsall | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 43 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 37 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 33 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 31 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 22 |
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