Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 77.97% (  -0.34) | 14.08% (  0.28) | 7.95% (  0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 48.04% (  -0.84) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.3% (  -1.2) | 34.7% (  1.2) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.34% (  -1.36) | 56.65% (  1.36) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.81% (  -0.33) | 7.18% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.9% (  -0.87) | 26.1% (  0.88) | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.75% (  -0.72) | 48.24% (  0.73) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.59% (  -0.53) | 83.41% (  0.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 2-0 @ 12.01% (  0.32) 3-0 @ 10.54% (  0.09) 1-0 @ 9.12% (  0.4) 2-1 @ 8.76% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 7.69% (  -0.09) 4-0 @ 6.95% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.06% (  -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.66% (  -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.8% (  -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.67% (  -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.85% (  -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.61% (  -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.17% (  -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.97% (  -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 77.95% | 1-1 @ 6.65% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 3.47% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 3.19% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 14.08% | 0-1 @ 2.53% (  0.1) 1-2 @ 2.42% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% (  0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 7.95% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 | 
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 | 
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 | 
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 | 
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 | 
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