Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 21.9% ( | 20.68% ( | 57.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( | 34.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( | 56.53% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.42% ( | 64.58% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% ( | 11.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 1-0 @ 4.3% ( 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 21.9% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-3 @ 5.48% ( 2-3 @ 4.26% ( 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0-4 @ 2.91% ( 2-4 @ 2.26% ( 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 2-5 @ 0.96% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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