Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
