Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
