

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 47.17% (  0.36) | 27.5% (  -0.02) | 25.33% (  -0.34) | 
| Both teams to score 45.01% (  -0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.27% (  -0.13) | 59.73% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.97% (  -0.1) | 80.03% (  0.1) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.6% (  0.11) | 25.4% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.79% (  0.16) | 60.2% (  -0.16) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.34% (  -0.38) | 39.66% (  0.38) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.66% (  -0.35) | 76.34% (  0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 1-0 @ 13.8% (  0.11) 2-0 @ 9.46% (  0.11) 2-1 @ 8.75% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 4% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% (  0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.76% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.07% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.05% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.32% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.31% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.82% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.33% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.33% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 | 
| 3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 | 
| 4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 | 
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 | 
| 6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 | 
| 7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 | 
| 9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 
| 11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 | 
| 12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 
| 13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 | 
| 14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 | 
| 15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 | 
| 16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 | 
| 17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 | 
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 | 
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 | 
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
