

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 48.29% | 26.72% | 24.99% |
| Both teams to score 46.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.93% | 78.07% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% | 23.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% | 38.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.7% | 75.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% 2-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
| 9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
| 14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
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