Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Rochdale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Forest Green Rovers | 46 | 31 | 84 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 46 | 24 | 84 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 60.71% | 22.34% | 16.95% |
| Both teams to score 48.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
