Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon
5 - 1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Edwards (80')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pen-y-Bont | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Flint Town United | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
27.42% ( -0.24) | 26.2% ( -0.19) | 46.38% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
