Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.