Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone | 
| 46.15% (  0.04) | 24.57% (  -0) | 29.28% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 56.66% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.03% (  -0.02) | 45.97% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.72% (  -0.02) | 68.27% (  0.02) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.99% (  0.01) | 20.01% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.79% (  0.01) | 52.21% (  -0.01) | 
| Wealdstone Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.84% (  -0.04) | 29.16% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.9% (  -0.05) | 65.09% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone | 
| 1-0 @ 9.39% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.55% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.05% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.63% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.74% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.19% (  -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.82% (  -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 | 
| 3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 | 
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 | 
| 7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 | 
| 8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 | 
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 | 
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 | 
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 | 
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 | 
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 | 
| 18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 | 
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 | 
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 | 
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