Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | York City |
| 61.53% ( | 21.72% | 16.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( | 47.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( | 69.43% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( | 14.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.88% ( | 43.12% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( | 41.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.03% ( | 77.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.53% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.41% 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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