MX23RW : Wednesday, July 17 22:49:28| >> :60:407:407:
Club Friendlies
Jul 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion
Dortmund logo

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Dortmund

Seitz (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benkara (20')
Adeyemi (41'), Louis Meiser (50'), Brunner (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Even though Borussia Dortmund are without a number of senior stars, Sahin still has several talented first-team and academy players at his disposal and the Bundesliga giants should have few problems securing a comfortable win over their third-tier counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.37%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win is 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.04%).

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 21.18% (-0.103 -0.1) 43.36% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 72.22% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.17% (0.51900000000001 0.52)26.82% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.73% (0.659 0.66)47.26% (-0.662 -0.66)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.227 0.23)16.5% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.405 0.41)46.23% (-0.409 -0.41)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.25 0.25)13.5% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46% (0.498 0.5)40.54% (-0.501 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 35.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 43.36%
    Draw 21.18%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.35%
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 7.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.91% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.84% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.42% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.46% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 43.36%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Dortmund

Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
Draw
23.1%
Borussia Dortmund
76.9%
13
rhs 2.0
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