	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Ballymena	0	nan
2	Carrick	0	nan
3	Cliftonville	0	nan
4	Coleraine	0	nan
5	Crusaders	0	nan
6	Dungannon	0	nan
7	Glenavon	0	nan
8	Glentoran	0	nan
9	Larne	0	nan
10	Linfield	0	nan
11	Loughgall	0	nan
12	Portadown	0	nan

We said: Larne 1-1 Rigas Futbola Skola (RFS win 4-1 on aggregate)

Losing just two of their previous six home matches in European competition, Larne should be relatively confident of avoiding a repeat of the first leg. That being said, the chances of the Inver Reds progressing into the second round of qualifying are extremely slim, with RFS likely to extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
29.37% ( 2.68)	23.79% ( -0.12)	46.83% ( -2.56)

Both teams to score 59.42% (

2.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63% (

2.39)

42.37% (

-2.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

2.34)

64.78% (

-2.34)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

3.15)

27.28% (

-3.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

3.92)

62.71% (

-3.92)

Rigas Futbola Skola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-0.08)

18.29% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.63% (

-0.14)

49.37% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Larne 29.37%

Rigas Futbola Skola 46.84%

Draw 23.79%

Larne	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.37%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.96) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.49) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.84%

How you voted: Larne vs RFS

Larne

33.3%

Draw

20.4%

Rigas Futbola Skola

46.3%

Head to Head

Jul 10, 2024 6pm

First Qualifying Round 1st Leg

RFS

3-0

Larne

Kigurs (30'), Balodis (49'), Panic (60')
Ikaunieks (45+3'), Kouadio (75')

Altintop (38'), Donnelly (42'), Bolger (58')

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Form Guide

Larne 8-1 Cliftonville

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