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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 6pm UK
LNK Sporta Parks
Larne

RFS
3 - 0
Larne

Lipuscek (15'), Kigurs (30'), Balodis (49'), Panic (60')
Ikaunieks (45+3'), Kouadio (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Altintop (38'), Donnelly (42'), Bolger (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Larne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sabah 2-1 RFS
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 5-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Larne had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLarne
62.43% (-0.589 -0.59)20.65% (0.171 0.17)16.92% (0.419 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.327 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)12.97% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54% (-0.36 -0.36)39.46% (0.361 0.36)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (0.501 0.5)38.3% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.477 0.48)75.06% (-0.476 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 62.42%
    Larne 16.92%
    Draw 20.65%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLarne
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.42%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: RFS vs Larne

Rigas Futbola Skola
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Larne
12.2%
49
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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