Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Orasenesc

Petrocub
1 - 0
Ordabasy

Lungu (34')
Lungu (22'), Bors (42'), Șmalenea (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maliy (52'), Yakhshibaev (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Petrocub Hincesti and Ordabasy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ordabasy 0-0 Petrocub
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ordabasy 0-0 Petrocub
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Petrocub Hincesti in this match.

Result
Petrocub HincestiDrawOrdabasy
37.03% (0.533 0.53)27.67% (0.106 0.11)35.3% (-0.642 -0.64)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.426 -0.43)57.02% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.341 -0.34)77.92% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (0.11500000000001 0.12)29.62% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (0.141 0.14)65.65% (-0.143 -0.14)
Ordabasy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)30.69% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.95% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Petrocub Hincesti 37.03%
    Ordabasy 35.29%
    Draw 27.67%
Petrocub HincestiDrawOrdabasy
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Petrocub vs Ordabasy

Petrocub Hincesti
56.8%
Draw
18.9%
Ordabasy
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 4pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ordabasy
0-0
Petrocub
Maliy (68'), Plastun (73'), Yakhshibaev (90+1')
Ambros (45'), Bors (79'), Mudrac (89')