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Champions League

Feyenoord
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Milan logo

Feyenoord
1 - 0
AC Milan

Paixao (3')
Smal (57'), Milambo (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Feyenoord and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawAC Milan
50.98% (-0.1 -0.1)22.83% (-0.084 -0.08)26.19% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 60.21% (0.481 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.555 0.56)40.18% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (0.569 0.57)62.56% (-0.568 -0.57)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (0.166 0.17)15.91% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (0.305 0.31)45.16% (-0.304 -0.3)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (0.431 0.43)28.4% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.54 0.54)64.15% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 50.98%
    AC Milan 26.19%
    Draw 22.82%
FeyenoordDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs AC Milan

Feyenoord
17.8%
Draw
23.3%
AC Milan
58.9%
258
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
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15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
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RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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