We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Lazio
As Bodo/Glimt can pose a threat to any team on home turf - and Lazio have lost some momentum in recent weeks - the first-leg of this fascinating tie could be drawn.
The hosts love to attack, while their visitors boast plenty of talent and nous across the final third, so this may be an open contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.