Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 1Udinese
We said: Lazio 2-1 Udinese
In fine form and posing a real threat up front, Udinese will not be beaten easily by a Lazio side that has one eye on Europe. Yet, the hosts have scored more goals in the last 15 minutes of play of any Serie A team this season - no fewer than 18 - so another late winner cannot be counted out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Udinese |
57.66% ( 0.59) | 23.52% ( 0.1) | 18.82% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
