Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.