Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Arouca 1-1 Moreirense
While the hosts have avoided defeat in their last three games, their single win in this streak does not seem entirely convincing, especially against Moreirense, who have enjoyed success in recent head-to-head meetings, making a tightly contested draw the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Moreirense |
38.65% ( 0.27) | 27.71% ( -0.13) | 33.64% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
