

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 43.99% ( | 26.38% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( | 53.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( | 74.89% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( | 24.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.59% ( | 58.41% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( | 32.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.75% ( | 69.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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