Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
43.99% (![]() | 26.38% (![]() | 29.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% (![]() | 53.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% (![]() | 74.89% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% (![]() | 58.41% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% (![]() | 32.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% (![]() | 69.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 11.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |