Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.