Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 35.83% ( | 26.54% ( | 37.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.19% ( | 63.81% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.55% ( | 62.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 51 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 29 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 27 |
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