Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.