Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Chaves | 
| 65.46% (  0.25) | 20.43% (  -0.13) | 14.11% (  -0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 47.78% (  0.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.25% (  0.28) | 46.75% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.99% (  0.27) | 69.01% (  -0.27) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.53% (  0.16) | 13.47% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.53% (  0.32) | 40.47% (  -0.33) | 
| Chaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.21% (  -0.01) | 44.79% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.24% (  -0) | 80.76% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Chaves | 
| 2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 12.09% (  -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% (  -0) 3-0 @ 8.1% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 6.51% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 4.06% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 3.26% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% (  0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 9.71% (  -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.91% (  -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.85% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.9% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.95% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.05% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.11% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 | 
| 2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 | 
| 3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 | 
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 | 
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 | 
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 | 
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 | 
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 | 
| 16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 | 
| 17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 | 
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