MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:24:08| >> :120:44756:44756:
Braga
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Union Berlin logo
Braga
1 - 0
Union Berlin
Oliveira (77')
Banza (45+3'), Horta (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schafer (27'), Behrens (90'), Ryerson (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Braga
Sunday, September 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Union Berlin

Braga will head into the game with sky-high confidence, having won each of their last six games in all competitions. They are unbeaten at the Estadio Braga Municipal since April and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage and see off the Bundesliga side to keep their fine run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
49.39% (0.083999999999996 0.08) 25.88%24.72% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.058 -0.06)75.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.38% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.112 -0.11)37.22% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.113 -0.11)74.01% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Braga 49.38%
    Union Berlin 24.72%
    Draw 25.88%
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 12.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Braga vs Union Berlin

Braga
79.3%
Draw
8.8%
Union Berlin
11.9%
193
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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