Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 55.97% ( | 22.61% ( | 21.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( | 44.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( | 66.6% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( | 15.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.35% ( | 44.64% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( | 34.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( | 71.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
| 2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
| 5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 65 |
| 8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
| 14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 49 |
| 17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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