Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 16.67% ( | 18.97% ( | 64.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.33% ( | 70.66% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( | 10.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.47% ( | 33.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 1-0 @ 3.75% 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.67% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-3 @ 6.87% ( 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 4% ( 0-4 @ 3.92% ( 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 1-5 @ 1.93% 0-5 @ 1.79% 2-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 64.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 80 | 29 | 51 | 77 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 72 |
| 3 | Woking | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 58 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 53 |
| 5 | Barnet | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Bromley | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 44 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 36 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
| 19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 32 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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