Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion | 
| 44.26% (  -0.05) | 25.61% (  0.02) | 30.13% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 53.76% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50% (  -0.06) | 49.99% (  0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.02% (  -0.06) | 71.97% (  0.05) | 
| Fleetwood Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.47% (  -0.05) | 22.53% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.89% (  -0.07) | 56.11% (  0.07) | 
| Burton Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.39% (  -0.01) | 30.61% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.16% (  -0.01) | 66.84% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion | 
| 1-0 @ 10.27% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.5% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% (  -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% (  -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.16% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.16% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.83% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.12% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% (  0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.13% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 | 
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 | 
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 | 
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 | 
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 | 
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 | 
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 | 
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 | 
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 | 
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 | 
| 14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 | 
| 15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 | 
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 | 
| 18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 | 
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 | 
| 22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 | 
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